British Sociological Association

Sociology of Religion Study Group


British Sociological Association

Sociology of Religion Study Group

PROPHETS AND PREDICTIONS
Religion in the 21st Century

Abstracts 4

ANASTASIA KARAFLOGKA

Religion on/in cyberspace

Taking the Net to be more a social, political, economic and spiritual shift rather than just another mass medium, and that it represents a new collective mental space where humanity can meet and exchange knowledge, information, ideas and experiences, it is essential and, in a way compulsory, to observe religion in this context. Religion and technology, historically, have been closely interrelated and the first has facilitated the development of the later, however, the present expansion of technology and the predicted future innovations call for a reassessment of the concepts of religion and spirituality and their relationship with cyberspace.

In my paper I will examine the explosive development of religion on/in cyberspace and predict the progressive advancement of what I call cybereligions, as distinct religious/spiritual/philosophical utterances from the existing uploaded religious information.  Presenting data from past and present research of religious discourse on/in cyberspace I will reach my predictions which will include the formation of new cyberreligious movements (NCRMs). 

WILL KEENAN
Monasticism and religious life: Just another new millennium

Whatever quibbles there are dating the precise origins of Christianity, the Year 2000 inaugurates 'just another millennium' for monasticism, especially since diverse forms of religious life can be found within Ancient Judaism (e.g., Essenes) and among the Gnostics of Ancient Society (e.g., Pythagorean). All world faiths, East and West, exhibit religious life dynamism in both its eremetical and coenobitical forms. One can confidently expect that the chequered and changeful history of religious virtuosi will continue unabated despite iconoclastic persecution and secularisation.

However, the third Christian millennium is likely to generate new modalities for the expression of that complex mix of affirmation of and resistance to the signs of the times - both ecclesiastical and worldly - that characterises 'the consecrated life' in every epoch. The 21st century is likely to find enduring 'official' traditions and controversial 'fringe' innovations commingling. Venerable monastic orders and religious congregations will compete for market share with novel apostolates and 'flexi-spec' foundations reactive to multi-faith ecumenism, network society and resurgent post-religion spiritualities.

JOHN KENNEDY

Machiavelli and Mandeville: Prophets of post-Christianity

Niccolo Machiavelli (1469-1527) was perhaps the earliest and most important critic of the Church who took human energy and ambition seriously, and called into the question the viability of a human society based on conventional Christian values. His membership of the self-consciously Christian administration of Florence which survived the data of the radical reformer Savonarola is a crucial and seldom noted feature of his thought.Bernard Mandeville, (1670-1733) did for the commercial world what Machiavelli did for politics. He acknowledged the benefits of the newly burgeoning commercial world, but questioned radically whether a common good based on private ambition could be accommodated to Christian morality. He disturbs the often complacent world view of his successor, Adam Smith, and Smith's attempt at a rebuttal of Mandeville's moral judgements is not plausible. Four important contemporary church documents, from Germany, Britain and Ireland, criticise public policy in a number of areas. These are briefly examined. An application of the insights of our prophets calls their claims into serious doubt. It is suggested that the tendency to self-delusion discovered in such statements is rooted in a failure to perceive the radically changed relationship between Churches which feel called to make such statements, and the societies which they purport to criticise. The implications for the future of such Churches and their utterances is then discussed.

SUNGHO KIM

Modernization and the future of religion in South Korea
My paper tries to predict the future of religion in South Korea by examining the process of modernisation in Korea, especially the Korean Protestant Church. I divide modernisation in Korea into three specific periods of time.

1. Before 1960 (Japan and America-led modernisation): I explore the relationship between traditional elements and modernity in this period, the impact of colonial moderenisation, and religious responses.

2. 1960-1990 (Korean government-led economic modernisation): I examine how the Korean Protestant Church (and other religions) has explosively grown, including discussion of the side-effects of the fact that religions have accomodated to modernity in the process of economic modernisation.

3. Since 1990 (globalisation and postmodernity): I describe declines of church membership, the reason of this, and especially how each religion has been challenged by globalisation and postmodernity.

On the basis of this analysis, I predict the future of religion in Korea

KLAUS-PETER KOEPPING

Empowerment through embodiment in litury and ideology: An apocalyptic religious movement in modern Japan

After the dropping of the Atomic Bomb on Japan in 1945, a country woman, Mrs. Sayo Kitamura founded the so-called Dancing Religion (Odoru Shukyo) by publicly claiming in her sermons the impending end of the world. The theme of her sermons from 1946 onwards re-iterated the warnings of doom and cataclysm by insisting in particular on the man-made causes for this end-scenario through divine fire. While the doomsday scenario can doubtlessly be explained partly from the war-experience of the prophetess living in the Hiroshima region in 1945, her strong criticism of the natural science attitude must also be based on her general world-view of human culpability for which she reverts to the concept of innen (karma). While the prophetess thus re-interprets a common notion of Buddhism about the arrival of the 'age of decline' she also offers believers the hope of salvation through human efforts, the 'cleansing of the heart'. As means of empowerment for the believers the prophetess introduced a form of liturgy which promises the attainment of unity with the divine force through body-manipulation (foremost the 'Dance of Non-Ego', muga no odori). This body liturgy re-enacts the personal spiritual experiences of the foundress with the newly proclaimed universal divinity which manifested itself in her body. The prophetic religious movements seems to combine a number of features which may be considered a typical re-action of people on local and regional levels being confronted with forces of the outside world beyond their control. The nativistic and anti-scientific orientation of the millennial and apocalyptic beliefs can be interpreted as forms of a search for identity and security as much as the claims of the foundress to embody the national symbols of Japan can be seen as a form of protest as well as self-empowerment for individuals in the nation-state on a local and regional as well as personal level. This orientation of a prophetic religious movement shows one form of local and regional coping strategies with the perceived threats from globalization through agency in a specific cultural idiom which may point toward a comparative assessment of reactions to a so-called 'post-modern' condition by 'traditional' socio-cultural forces and ideas.

DAVID LEHMANN

Charisma and possession in Africa and Brazil

As they have spread through Africa and Latin America charismatic movements, largely in the form of Pentecostal and Evangelical churches have created a complex and (at least apparently) contradictory relationship with indigenous religious cultures - and especially with those in which possession and cure plays a major role. The ambiguities and ironies involved echo the problems faced by Anglican and Methodist missionaries in the early and mid-19th century, as described by Jean and John Comaroff in their history of the Tswana people (and of much else besides) on the northern marches of South Africa. We see here how profound cultural difference does not necessarily impede cultural interchange and how the perception of radical cultural opposition may be accompanied by borrowings between opposed groups. In these cases - spread across time and space during two centuries - we see that borrowings may travel in both directions between colonizer and colonized, and between hegemonic and subaltern systems of ritual and symbolism, The paper then illustrates how magic and mafia are intertwined concepts and the ways in which charismatic religion enters into an apocalyptic confrontation with them among the excluded of the contemporary megalopolis.

GORDON LYNCH AND MARTIN STRINGER

Trends, theories and trajectories: devising a methodology for religious prediction

I n this paper we wish to ask what methodologies might be used to predict the future of religion in a reliable fashion. One principle that we can build upon is to look back over the last fifty years and to recognise and highlight factors that have predated changes in religious attitudes and/or affiliation. We would like to propose two such factors that may be worth looking at in more detail. The first relates to the generation that provides religious leadership. This would suggest, for example, that the generation that was formed by the sixties is now moving into positions of leadership and that their values, suitably developed over time, are those which are going to be most relevant in the next ten years or so. The other predicts a similar generational time gap (25-30 years) between academic theories of religion and actual religious practice. Putting these two principles together, we will offer some predictions for the development of religion over the next 25 to 30 years.

DAVID MARTIN

Is there a leading edge to religious change?

I restrict myself to Christianity as the initial test case for the relation of modernity to religion, unless one holds Christianity specially vulnerable, intellectually, contextually or by reason of its own destructive internal logic. I do not incidentally believe either New Age sensibility or NRM's fill up some putative religious space vacated by Christianity.

Much depends on how you locate 'lead societies', whether you regard Europe or the U.S.A. as exceptional, and if the former whether you relate that to fragmenting establishments. Much also depends on whether you think there is an increasing domination of one style or reason of a fragmentation of the 'Enlightened' establishment. The spread of Pentecostalism, and its particular cultural incidence, may throw light on these issues.

DAVID MAXWELL

'African Gifts of the Spirit': Fundamentalism and the rise of the Born-Again Movement in Africa

The paper charts the rise of the Born-Again Movement in Africa, particularly the appearance of its recent dynamic pentecostal strand. The movement is analysed in terms of the developmental contradictions within it: its global character and its capacity to localise itself; the tension between its popular voluntarist origins and an increasingly authoritative leadership; the tension between sectarian social sources and the drive towards respectability, recognition and an embrace of the world. The movement's relation to politics, its implications for gender and generational relations, and its relation to modernity are analysed in terms of these sets of contradictions.

The paper agues that scholars have so far failed to analyse African born-again Christianity as, first and foremost, a religious movement. More attenton must be given to its own idioms, particularly those pertaining to the 'gifts of the spirit'. It is these that so animate the movement. The label fundamentalism is rejected. Pentecostalism does not represent a flight from modernity but rather embraces many of its carriers and some of its discourses. Neither is it necessarily a response to some perceived threat or crisis. At the turn of the 21st century it is aggressive and confident, and established religion now responds to its agendas. It is very much here to stay.

BIRGIT MEYER

Modernity and religion in Ghana

The paper will focus on the popularity of the pentecostal-charismatic movement in Ghana which manifests itself markedly in the public sphere through its use and command of modern mass media, thereby constituting an important part of civil society. Far from being confined to the realm of mere culture, pentecostals actively engage in political debate and force politicians to speak their language. As a result, it appears to be impossible to disentangle religion and politics. It will be argued that the difficulty of the Ghanaian postcolonial state to achieve legitimacy and bind its citizens and the easy accessibility of mass media make it possible for pentecostalists to imagine powerful alternative communities which cannot be fully controlled by the state. The paper will reflect on these processes in the light of secularization theory. Challenging the assumption that there is an intrinsic relation between modernization and a declining public impact of religion, the paper will argue that the relationship between religion and modernity is far more complicated and make a strong plea for detailed historical-ethnographic investigation. Only on this base will it be possible to determine the future location and role of religion in Ghana.

WILL MYER

Chingiz Aitmatov: A Soviet prophet

'Prophesy' as understood in the Hebrew Scriptures relates to revealing the true nature of Society rather than to foretelling the future. This paper looks at two works by Lenin Prize-winning Kyrgyz author Chingiz Aitmatov, The Place of the Skull and One Day is Longer than a Century, to examine how a Soviet author was able to use religious imagery derived both from Christianity and the Kyrgyz tribal tradition to mount a critique of the effect of Soviet materialism on society.

That the use of such imagery was possible in an avowedly anti-religious society tells us much about the power of religious discourse and its ability to survive as a meaningful mode of expression in a secular society. That Aitmatov draws on Christianity and the tribal tradition rather than the nominal religion of the Kyrgyz, Islam, also provides a pointer to the future religious development of Kyrgyzstan, suggesting that the possibility for the growth of 'Islamic fundamentalism' here and among other 'tribal' ex-Soviet Asian peoples (Kazakhs, Turkmen, Karakalpaks) is limited in the foreseeable future.